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Home / US / Why did Arnon Mishkin of Fox News call Arizona for Biden?

Why did Arnon Mishkin of Fox News call Arizona for Biden?



Arnon Mishkin, head of the Fox News decision desk, is getting heat from Trump’s White House following his call back to Arizona for former Vice President Joe Biden on Tuesday night.

Mishkin’s team handed the state and 11 electoral votes to Trump’s Democratic rival at 11:20 p.m. Eastern time. The Associated Press, which collaborates with Fox News on a voter analysis survey used to determine election results, also awarded Arizona to Biden.

None of the other networks made a status call late Thursday afternoon. If Biden wins Georgia, Pennsylvania or Nevada, where the outcome could come Thursday night, Fox News will be in the position to be the first to call Biden presidential elections.

This development will surprise Fox News critics who complain about the network̵

7;s point of view hosts, who provide passionate backing for Trump. But the network has long maintained that their journalism is discouraged from conservative commentators.

Fox News has firmly sided with Mishkin, a critically acclaimed analyst who has been monitoring the return of votes at the network since 2008, even as Trump’s pro-Trump guests appeared on the air. firms to criticize this move.

There were also reports that people in the presidential circles called Rupert Murdoch, executive chairman of parent company Fox Corp. network, to complain about the decision to make a call. This decision changed the story of the election as it seems that Trump is on his way to win again after a surprisingly strong victory in Florida.

Trump’s election campaign also attacked Mishkin for being a Registered Democrat who admitted to voting for Hillary Clinton in 2016. An email sent by the campaign acknowledged his contributions to Democratic candidates.

Mishkin, 65, is not an official employee of Fox News. He is a former political advisor who has worked in election campaigns for both Democratic and Republican candidates. He has also made financial contributions to both parties, with more money going to Republican candidates according to public records.

But Trump’s decision to give state to rival Democrats is based on mathematical analysis. Mishkin arrived at Fox News late on election night, where anchor Bret Baier left him harshly questioned during the call.

Mishkin continued with Baier and co-manager Martha MacCallum on Wednesday as he explained once more about the decision and said there is no intention to change it.

“We will not take back that call,” said Mishkin. “With ballots available, additional ballots will be reported in Maricopa County. We do not believe this will change the term or structure of the race, and we strongly believe our call will stand. And that’s why we did not take back the call.

Mishkin said there weren’t enough votes in Arizona to change the race, where margins tightened as more votes were counted late Wednesday. Biden’s price stood at 68,000 on Thursday afternoon.

“Maricopa County is a district where Biden is doing well,” said Mishkin. Basically, the president needed to win 60% of the outstanding votes to overtake or tie Joe Biden. We don’t believe he will get more than 45, 46% of that vote. “

Mishkin also noted that voters in Maricopa County tend to be more Biden voters than Trump voters. “Voters cast their vote by mail, and the vast majority of these votes are mail voting, which tends to be even stronger for Biden than voting in person on election day.”

MacCallum told Mishkin that Trump’s campaign assumed that many “voters go early and late” voted on election day.

“They are saying that the number of outstanding votes is over 600,000, and the president is on track that they see is more than 60 percent,” MacCallum said. “If that’s the case, will that state move?”

“If a frog has wings,” replied Mishkin. “What we believe quite strongly is that the vote will come, it will confirm our call. The others will then call Arizona for the former vice president. We trust our calls and we’ll see when there’s data. “

When asked why Arizona was called so early, Mishkin explained that there were enough votes by 11 p.m. Eastern time to determine the outcome.

“About 80% of the votes were given when we made the call,” he said. “We sat and watched it for about half an hour, an hour, and we said it was time to pull the trigger. We feel that we made the correct call at the right time and that’s why we made it.

When asked why Arizona is called and not North Carolina, where Trump leads, Mishkin said the decision desk awaits “final remnants” of the mail ballot to count because it could support Biden.

“We know in places like North Carolina, the Biden mail ballot is much stronger than you would normally see the difference between direct and mail voting,” he said. “North Carolina is probably the president’s best chance at winning a state of excellence. “

Mishkin predicted the discrepancy between the direct election day and mail ballot, which was burdensome due to pandemic concerns, when he told the Los Angeles Times last month.

“Based on all the surveys, what you’re seeing is that Republicans are more likely to want to vote in person on election day, and Democrats are more likely to want to vote early or by post. , ”Said Mishkin. “That makes our work on election night more complicated.”

Mishkin is used to being criticized by Trump. He also works with Fox News’s voting unit – intimately known as “nerdquarium” – which is the target of Trump tweets whenever its numbers don’t go the president’s way.

Trump has received strong support from Fox News hosts Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham. But the president is known to have called Murdoch and other Fox News executives to voice his unhappiness with the channel’s coverage and press polls.

Fox News Political Director Chris Stirewalt told the Times in 2019 that he had never received pressure from his superiors regarding voting unit data or its election calls.

“I didn’t hear boos,” said Stirewalt. “I’ve never been asked. I have never been relied upon. I’ve never had a gust of wind blowing in my direction that ‘could be a little better if…’ ”




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