Trump will travel to states that his campaign considers most competitive at breakneck speed at the end of the campaign’s final weekend, holding rallies in Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. All have said he is expected to make at least 14 stops from Saturday to Monday. His tour garnered substantial local media coverage and his campaign also used rallies to identify voters, ensure that they voted and if not. , using the lobbying apparatus to communicate with them and get them to vote.
“Polls have always been important for some people, but today they are less important because more and more realistic votes are taken every day,”; said Trump’s campaign manager Bill Stepien. said. “The ground game matters – in each state, we can see the results of President Trump’s grassroots operation, simply the best ever built.”
Campaign officials believe their ground game will make a difference in states they expect to end on election night, like Arizona, Florida, North Carolina and Georgia. And in Pennsylvania, Republicans indicated an increase in voter registration and a large field activity they believed would lead to Trump’s victory.
Richard Walters, Chief of Office of the Republican National Committee, said: “Where the game on the ground matters is where the ballot wins the sidelines. At some point we do not believe that advertising is effective. results for declining profits “. “We believe that based on certain voter patterns, the game on the ground will be what makes a difference.”
When the coronavirus epidemic hit the country earlier this year, Joe Biden’s presidential election campaign and most of the other Democrats halted the live and house-to-door organization; Republicans did not. Democrats have cautiously resumed those efforts in recent weeks in key states, but even Democrats and officials admit that efforts are relatively limited. they in direct voter contact could cause problems on Election Day.
The Biden campaign told CNN that its voter activity is just as strong as Trump, with more than 3,500 fieldworkers and an active team of virtual voter outreach, telephone and SMS.
“We have built a massive organized program of millions of meaningful conversations with voters online, over the phone and at safe, out of society live events, in a way that meets them where they are. they are in and respect for public health, “said Michael Gwin, deputy director of the Biden campaign’s quick response. “Evidence shows that our approach is working: Democrats are popping up in record numbers and voters have made it clear that they disgust Trump and his campaign is refusing to watch. This pandemic. “
Few doubt the value of GOP data operations. It is a complex system of modeling that has been collecting information about potential Trump voters for over three years. And for Republicans, the difference between a narrow win or a loss may depend on getting the activity to work the way they predicted.
But there is doubt that the game on the ground will make enough difference if, as opinion polls show, Trump falls significantly nationally and in key states.
“If this was the basic race we were all expecting throughout March, that fundamental effort would be absolutely critical to taking those last or two points,” said Liam Donovan, who is not affiliated with GOP, said. Trump campaign. “But a rife public health environment makes enforcement more difficult than ever, and without failures in the poll is even greater than what we saw last year. 2016, the states at the cut-off don’t seem close enough for it to be a problem. “
The Trump campaign’s decision to focus resources on ground-based organization was a strategic investment aimed at a nearby election. The campaign spent more than $ 300 million on data and ground operations and less on TV and digital advertising in the final phase of the campaign. Biden and Democrats are significantly dominating Trump and the Republican party on national television and in key battlefield nations.
Walters believes that if the race is over, the money spent to vote will be worth much more than the additional TV ad spend.
“I always tell people that if the first 300 million dollars on TV don’t get someone to vote for you, then the last hundred million won’t work,” he said. “People want to be asked to vote for them, they want not to be taken for granted.”