On Thursday morning, an disorganized Eta continues to generate heavy rains and life-threatening flash floods over areas of Central America. It has winds of 30 miles per hour, is located above Honduras and is moving northwest at 8 miles per hour.
For Central America, heavy rainfall from Eta over the weekend is expected to lead to a continuing disaster with life-threatening flash floods coupled with landslides in higher terrain areas. Flooding can also occur across Jamaica, southeastern Mexico, the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. The total number of storms can be between 30-40 inches by the time the rain ends.
Eta is forecast to regain the strength of a tropical storm in the Northwest Caribbean on Friday. While details on Eta̵7;s future path and intensity are uncertain, Cuba, South Florida and Florida Keys should begin preparing for wind and rain impacts starting this weekend and pulling long to early next week. The forecast has slowed down from Wednesday, so the times that are likely to have the biggest impact on the Florida Keys and South Florida could be Monday and Tuesday at the moment.
Regardless of intensity, heavy rains and prolonged gusts of wind could hit southern Florida. It can rain a few inches, maybe up to 10 inches. This area is already saturated, which can increase the risk of flooding.
With more than 75 inches of precipitation so far this year, Miami currently has the seventh wet recorded year on record. Other locations that currently experience the top 10 wettest years include Fort Lauderdale, Fort Pierce and Vero Beach.
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If Eta’s traffic hub remains intact in Central America, it will retain its name. If it loses its center of traffic and a new flow of traffic forms in the northwestern Caribbean, it is likely that it will have a new name, in which case it will be Theta.
It’s important to note, whichever tropical system is named as it approaches Florida, the effects will be the same, and those following the current path should be prepared for a wet and long wind on the horizon.
By 2020, there were 11 record landings on the US mainland. Notably, none of them were ever in Florida.