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Tropical Depression Eta Path near Florida, Pasta Pattern



MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Notice at 10 a.m. Eastern Standard Time on Friday, November 6, 2020, due to the presence of Tropical Depression Eta ( formerly Invest 96L and Hurricane Eta) in the northwestern Caribbean region.

This is the first time an Atlantic Storm Season has featured the name Eta in the Greek Alphabet.

Eta is the twenty-eighth to be named storm in the 2020 season, a record for the number of named storms set in 2005.

Eta tropical low pressure forecast line

Tropical Depression Eta is located approximately 395 miles west-southwest of Gand Cayman and is moving north at 7 mph (1

1 km / h).

NHC forecasters say a move northeast and faster than expected by the end of today, with the movement continuing through early Sunday.

According to the official NHC forecasts, Eta’s center will move through the Northwest Caribbean waters today, reaching the Cayman Islands on Saturday and near Cuba on Saturday and Sunday nights.

Tropical depressions and computer model

Tropical depressions Eta computer model, Pasta model
Tropical depressions Eta computer model, Pasta model

The ECMWF European model and the US GFS model both predict that Eta will reappear in the Caribbean Sea and track towards Cuba.

While the guide has a good consensus on synoptic development, there are plenty of differences in the details of the path forecast in terms of both direction and speed, with GFS-based guidance tending to east and north of UKMET / ECMWF / Canada Models.

Overall, the consensus patterns have shifted a bit east and north since the last consultation and the new NHC forecast is also driven in those directions.

Tropical Depression Eta Category Strength

Tropical low pressure Eta NOAA NHC Arrival time
Tropical low pressure Eta NOAA NHC Arrival wind

Tropical Depression Eta has maximum sustained winds of 35 miles per hour (55 km / h), with stronger winds.

Eta is forecast to return to strength by the end of today, with the possibility of strengthening early Sunday.

Eta tropical low pressure clock and warning

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Cayman Islands.

Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Cuban provinces such as Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, Matanzas, La Habana, Ciudad de la Habana, Pinar del Rio and Isle of Youth.

NOAA historical storm data.  Peak season and frequency of storms.

September 10 is the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season where tropical cyclone activity increases significantly. But the hurricane season remained at increased activity levels until the first half of November, according to NOAA and historical data from the National Weather Service.

October Atlantic hurricane Storm season History

NOAA and Colorado State University project the 2020 “extremely aggressive” Atlantic hurricane season which runs from June 1 to November 30.


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