Brynn Anderson / AP
Senate control could be contingent upon Georgia’s two overtaking races in January as no candidate in both contests reached the threshold of 50% of the required vote to win outright.
That means Georgia, which is still counting votes in a long presidential race slated to recount, is shaping up to be a point of no basis for whether Congress will be redistributed. next year or not.
“All eyes will be on Georgia over the next two months,” said Emory University political science professor Andra Gillespie. “There will be record spending, unprecedented campaigning and tons of hurdles in these races – more than we usually see.”
Currently, the Republicans have a majority 53-47 in the US Senate. With some races undecided, Democrats have won a new seat in the Senate but will need two more seats for the 50-50 split. Then, if Joe Biden wins the White House, Kamala Harris as vice president will vote a breakout in the room.
The Senate is narrowly divided, whoever takes control, meaning who the president will need cooperation between the parties in many cases to move any important legislative priorities forward. Democrats will retain a majority in the House of Representatives, but with a smaller margin.
For now, the final calls need to be made in two other pending Senate races in North Carolina and Alaska. Republicans in both cases said they were confident they would win, making the sweep of Democrats in both races the only way left for Democrats to gain multiple. number.
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., Said he was unsure if he would keep his job, or if Minority Leader Chuck Schumer would switch to that leadership position. However, McConnell noted that Republicans outperformed experts’ expectations that the GOP would lose control of the Senate completely with the November election.
Now, like the others, he is in standby and watch mode.
“I’m not sure I’m the majority leader – as you may have noticed – that will be defined in Georgia,” McConnell told reporters on Friday in Kentucky. “So this has yet to be decided in this almost overwhelming national election.”
Georgia has been a red stronghold in recent years, but the electoral change has given Democrats hope by 2020, Gillespie said. Especially when compared to the state last saw a Senate run-off in 2008.
That year, incumbent Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss defeated Democrat Jim Martin with more than 300,000 votes.
“Democrats are in a stronger position than they did before there was a Senate run,” Gillespie said. “Back then, all signs were that Republicans had a numerical advantage in the state. “. “Recent elections show that there are far more Democrats than Republicans in the state today.”
Bang has not had a Democratic senator since 2005 when Zell Miller ended his term. Gillespie and other experts say races will reduce the number of voters.
The first race to enter the Georgia Senate designated as a surrogate will feature Sen. GOP Kelly Loeffler, who was appointed to his seat earlier this year, against Democratic Party challenger, Raphael Warnock, an African-American pastor from Atlanta. The two are vying for a special election to fill the remainder of their term for the seat vacated by retired Republican Senator Johnny Isakson.
In the second race, incumbent Republican Sen. David Perdue will face Democratic Party challenger Jon Ossoff, a documentary filmmaker. Perdue initially secured more than 50% of the votes on previous tally counts, only to find that margins narrowed under the necessary watermark as the tally continued.
The other Senate race calls are pending
In North Carolina, the AP showed Tillis ahead of nearly 100,000 votes out of 5 million, with 93% of the results. not conceded.
“I had a burden to myself, thinking that North Carolina could be a majority supplier to the US Senate,” Tillis said in a speech late Tuesday.
However, Cunningham’s camp did note that the State Election Commission continued to count the votes and they were waiting for every final ballot to be counted. However, Cunningham would have a large deficit to overcome to turn the current trajectory of the ballot papers.
In Alaska, Sen. Dan Sullivan still has a significant lead with about half of the votes counted.
“Tonight we saw some Democrats, with advantages in the tens of millions of dollars, toppled when they finally faced voters,” Sullivan said on Twitter on Tuesday. Private. “Money can’t win these races – ideas and profiles do – and I believe that trend will continue in Alaska.”
His Democratic challenger, Al Gross, argued that his campaign still saw a path to victory.
“We believe we will win when every vote has been counted in the state,” Gross said in a tweet on Thursday.
Kevin McLaughlin, executive director at the National Republican Senate Committee, said Gross’s statements were “delusional” and Democrats would not be able to keep up with Sullivan’s lead.
AP shows that so far, Sullivan is accounting for 62% of the counted votes, equivalent to nearly 200,000 votes. The total was 32%, or over 61,000 votes.
Issues and voters may be of interest to during the Georgia run
“The fall of Georgia will make the state more of a focus than ever,” said Trey Hood, a professor of politics at the University of Georgia.
Hood said the races could reach black voters, especially African-Americans, and whether Democrats can improve the performance of candidates like Hillary Clinton in the Democratic past to increase their percentage of white voters or not.
“There are a lot of minority voters in Georgia, especially African-American voters, and so a lot of what happens in any election is based on voter turnout rates,” said Hood. African American. In addition, “Biden was able to increase whites’ vote, which is where Hillary Clinton and other Democratic candidates are lacking.”
During Georgia’s special election, Loeffler will have to reconsider the controversy that occurred during his first year in office.
She wasn’t Trump’s first choice to fill the chair – he urged the appointment of GOP Representative Doug Collins in place. And Loeffler, a business executive married to the CEO of a company that owns the New York Stock Exchange, has been charged with dumping $ 20 million in shares after a private meeting of Shanghai. coronavirus institute in January. A review of federal regulators found no misconduct.
She also held stakes in the WNBA group, the Atlanta Dream, and previously headed a subsidiary under the NYSE owner, the Intercontinental Exchange. She also faced controversy from WNBA players concerned over her remarks regarding the Black Lives Matter movement.
In the end, Loeffler broke the challenge from Collins, who ran as Trump’s primary defender in the impeachment investigation in the House of Representatives. Loeffler also built his credentials as a loyal Trump supporter along the way.
I just called @kloeffler and congratulated her on making it through. She has my support and testimonials. I wish all Republicans come together. Raphael Warnock would be a disaster for Georgia and the US.
– Doug Collins (@CollinsforGA) November 4, 2020
In the midst of the battle between the parties, Warnock got through competition from a long list of defiant Democrats.
In Georgia’s race to enter another Senate, Perdue is looking for a second senator term against Ossoff, a former communications executive.
In 2017, Ossoff set a fundraising record in a special election for a seat on the outskirts of Atlanta House. But he suffered a stinging defeat to Republican Karen Handel. The following year, Democrat Lucy McBath won a seat in front of Handel.
Perdue, who was elected in 2014, has been seen as a key ally of Trump. In October, he was criticized that he purposely mocked Sen. Harris’ s name, Kamala.
Ossoff has also accused Perdue of running an ad targeting his Jewish heritage by showing him him with a large nose, calling it a “Jewish card game”.
Perdue is a cousin to Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue. Senator won the first term with less than 8 percentage points.