President Trump is hoping to repeat his success in Michigan, which he won with just 10,704 votes in 2016. In 2018, Democrats won every statewide election. and take back the governor’s mansion. Those victories were largely driven by the success of Democrats in the suburbs.
In 2016, Mr. Trump won the Michigan suburb from 53% to 42%, but Governor Gretchen Whitmer lost only 3 points to the suburbs in 2018. That includes winning in Oakland County, Detroit County. richer umbrella and Macomb County, a more working class. district that Mr. Trump took in 2016.
The latest poll by CBS News shows that Biden leads with an independent voter rate of 55% to 43%. In 2016, Mr. Trump won an independence rate of between 52% and 36%, according to polls. The poll also showed that Trump was struggling with white voters with college degrees. In 2016, polls showed he won the team from 51% to 43%.
The CBS News poll also found that Biden led the way among White voters with college degrees between 55% and 43%. White women with college degrees were crucial to Whitmer in 2018. She beat white women with college degrees by 62% to 36%, after Hillary Clinton won that group between 50% and 44%. , according to the polls. Democrats hope to double Whitmer’s success with college-educated voters in places like Oakland County and Kent County, home to Grand Rapids, the longtime Republican stronghold where Whitmer has reached 4 , 2 points in 2018.
The president’s success with white working-class voters was crucial to his 2016 victory. He won Macomb and Monroe counties outside Detroit, but also knocked out working-class areas in mid-Michigan such as Saginaw County, where Democracy was safe. Trump also won the Upper Michigan Peninsula, home to many white working-class voters, with 18.6 points. In 2012, Mitt Romney won the Upper Peninsula with 3.3 points. But Biden could squeeze a bit into Mr Trump’s bottom line among white voters without a college degree. In October, a CBS News poll found that Trump led between 61% and 37% of those voters, down from his 31 points for the group in 2016.
Democrats are also working to increase voters in cities with large black voters, including Detroit and Flint. Three days before the election, Biden and former President Obama held driving events in both cities, hoping to spark supporters’ enthusiasm. Detroit’s voter turnout rate fell by more than 41,000 votes between 2012 and 2016 in a city where Clinton won 94.4% of the vote. Mr. Trump also shaved off Democrats in Genesee County, Flint’s hometown. Obama beat Genesee 32.5 points in 2008 and 28.2 points in 2012, but Mrs. Clinton was only 9.5 points behind in 2016.