Instead, some Democratic incumbents, which it believes were safe, suddenly lost their jobs. And many of the GOP areas that Democratic leaders have kept their eye on for months have been firmly in the control of the Republican Party.
Those results were achieved even though the party raised more than $ 300 million due to the vast energy on the left. Many political supporters have predicted that Democrats will choose between three and 15 seats, increasing the majority vote from 232 to 197 seats. By Wednesday morning, that prediction was flawed, with Democrats resigning about half a dozen incumbents and many of their top contenders trailing behind GOP rivals.
The lackluster performance ̵1; at least above expectations – could have consequences for the presidency: If neither President Trump nor former vice-president Joe Biden won 270 electoral votes, according to the Constitution France, the House of Representatives has the ability to choose the next president when it convenes January. Each state delegation is awarded one vote and whoever wins the support of the 26 delegations wins.
Before Election Day, Republicans – despite being in the minority – controlled 26, while Democrats controlled 22. The two delegations were split equally between both parties.
In recent weeks, as Trump escalated his attacks on absentee voting and hinted that he could return to the House of Representatives to give him a second term, Pelosi sought to turn delegations in. control of his party, either to turn elections for Biden or at least prevent Trump from being declared winner in the House of Representatives.
That is why Democrats are so focused on choosing new territories in Pennsylvania and Michigan, the two delegations are tied together. They also turned their sights on Florida, as well as Montana and even Alaska – both single-county states remained under GOP control for decades.
However, by midnight Tuesday, the Democrats did not turn any of the delegations back and were moving in the opposite direction in Florida, with two incumbents sitting in seats supposed to be in their control. And the initial results signaled a miscalculation of strategy on their part, as they were so focused on their large expansion that they had lost part of their own territory.
The damper was expected to arrive despite an early win round on Tuesday. Even before polls began to end in the East Coast, Pelosi and Democratic Congressional Campaigning Committee Chair Cheri Bustos (Illustration) expressed confidence that they had secured their choice. their most vulnerable members and in prime position to overthrow long-standing suburban fortifications. Republican Party.
“Tonight, House Democrats are ready to further consolidate our majority – the majority in the largest, most diverse, most dynamic, women-led House in history. , ”Said Pelosi.
“We’re in a good position to have a good night out,” agreed Bustos.
Warning signs for Democrats began early in South Florida, as two first-term Democratic incumbents are expected to win re-election, Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and Donna Shalala, followed by those who challenged the Republican Party. There, Biden’s inefficiency among repeated attacks by Latinos and Republicans against the Democratic Party as “socialist” seems to have cut back women.
Shalala – an influential Democrat who served as secretary of health and human services under President Bill Clinton and is considered “likely” to win – lost to an American journalist Cuban descent she did best of 2018, María Elvira Salazar. Mucarsel-Powell, who was born in Ecuador and was the first South American immigrant to serve in Congress, lost to Mayor Miami-Dade Carlos A. Giménez despite being more prized.
Then, the Republicans quickly began locking down the optimistic Democrats they would overthrow. In Indiana, a top Democrat target, retired Sen. Susan Brooks (R) ‘s suburban seat seems out of reach of Democratic candidate Christina Hale, who has followed the Communist party. Victoria Spartz draw. And in the Cincinnati suburbs, Rep. Steve Chabot (R) – another Democrat’s main target whose race is seen to be subversive – led the 13th term to represent the Cincinnati region against Kate. Schroder.
By 2 a.m., any excitement on the Democrats had completely vanished when the AP news agency began calling for Republican races. In Oklahoma, Rep. Kendra Horn admitted her race. In New Mexico, the AP called GOP businesswoman Yvette Herrell’s race against Rep. Xochitl Torres Small.
Meanwhile, Democratic Rep. Abby Finkenauer, who won a seat in northeastern Iowa two years ago, fell into the hands of Rep. Ashley Hinson (R), a former state journalist. And in the race to get to the most expensive home in South Carolina, Democratic Rep. Joe Cunningham was beaten by Republican Nancy Mace. Cunningham struggled to distance himself from the Democratic leaders, voting against Pelosi as a speaker.
Even Minnesota Senator Collin C. Peterson – who has represented the state’s District 7 for three decades and has endured numerous GOP waves – lost to former governor Michelle Fischbach. Peterson won in 2016 even though Trump gave the region 30 percentage points.
At the same time, many of the party’s dovish freshman stars are chasing after their opponents and showing a willingness to lose. Rep. Max Rose, a blunt veteran and New Yorker who won at an area that Trump brought in with two digits, lost to his GOP challenger, member of the minor congress. state of Nicole Malliotakis, with two digits. In Virginia and Michigan, Representatives Abigail Spanberger (D) and Elissa Slotkin (D), both former CIA officials, appear to have lost to their GOP rivals – though neither have been called.
The failure of some Democratic incumbents comes as the Republican party latches onto the vulnerable suburbs. In Missouri, Rep. Ann Wagner, leader of the GOP Suburban Suburban Meeting Group, held a race labeled “bounce”. So did the representatives of French Hill in Arkansas and Rodney Davis of Illinois.
To be sure, the Democrats had some wins. The party picked up two open seats in North Carolina from the start, making the most of the redrawn parliamentary maps, as well as the GOP retirement. Deborah Ross, who ran for Senate four years ago, defeated a Republican and Liberal candidate to secure North Carolina’s District 2. Kathy Manning, an attorney and community fundraiser, beat out Republican and small business owner Lee Haywood in District 6.
But those victories deny the predictions of many House Democrats and even non-partisan political supporters who have predicted that the party will significantly expand the map. . Indeed, Democrats are so confident they started spending millions in counties where Trump won 10 points in 2016, even running TV commercials in places like Montana and Alaska, but where GOP has been in the hands for decades.
As it turns out, that money could have been better spent on their field or in more competitive races.
Perhaps nowhere will Democrat disappointment be more pronounced than Texas, an increasingly competitive state and what Democrats see as a prime example of a reorganization. politics is happening across the country. Democrats flipped some of the suburban seats held by GOP in Lone Star State in 2018. And Bustos made the executive decision to send DCCC staff to the state early in this cycle to try to attract add suburbs.
However, at the beginning of the evening, five of the competitive areas Democrats keep an eye on were called Republicans, including those for Rep. Dan Crenshaw, Van Taylor, Roger Williams, John Carter and even Michael McCaul, whose chair was supposed to be “throw-up.”
Democrats have even lost a seat in Texas they see as an easy option: Texas’ 23rd Congressional District, where moderate Rep. Will Hurd is about to retire.
The results were quite contrary to expectations, given the current political landscape. Democrats expect Republicans to pay for Trump’s awkward handling of the coronavirus epidemic as well as a divisive tone from the White House. But if anything, election night signals that 2020 isn’t 2018 about the green wave.