- The coronavirus has spread in prisons, especially the San Quentin State Prison in the Gulf, and uncontrolled transmission that could indicate a herd’s immunity without a vaccine is highly unlikely. out, The Los Angeles Times reported.
- At least 2,200 cases have been reported out of 3,260 people at the facility, with 25 deaths.
- The death rate equates to about 767 deaths out of every 100,000 people, if applied to the entire United States, it would mean 2.5 million deaths.
- The herd’s immunity to COVID-19 requires immunity from 40% to 70% of the population, meaning that at least 32,500,000 people must be immune.
- So far, only 1.5% of Americans test positive for coronavirus.
- Out of more than 5 million cases, more than 164,000 people died.
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The coronavirus virus has spread in prisons, notably San Quentin, where, as of Monday, 2,200 cases have been reported out of 3,260 people at the facility; There have been 25 deaths reported.
The Los Angeles Times reports that the uncontrolled spread of the coronavirus in San Quentin reflects how some people suggest we deal with this virus, by allowing more and more members of the population to capture it. create immunity to herd.
However, while more than two-thirds of the population in prison may have been infected with the virus, the spread meant only prolonged illness and unnecessary death, LA Times said.
The facility’s mortality rate equates to about 767 deaths out of 100,000 people, LA Times reported. In contrast, the overall death rate in the US is around 49.5 people for every 100,000 people. As of Tuesday, more than 164,000 people have died from COVID-19 in the US and more than 5 million are infected.
If the death rate from San Quentin was reflected nationally, it would equate to 2.5 million deaths from COVID-19.
Michael Kirkpatrick, a former prisoner who was released and tested positive for the virus, told the LA Times that only about 5 of the cells in his 50-cell group had no infected person.
“You can’t help getting it – you’re in a place with no ventilation,” he told LA Times.
High mortality is a major consequence of policies that support uncontrolled spread to try to achieve herd immunity, that is when a sufficiently large proportion of the population is immune to the pathogen. so that it cannot be spread widely. Previously, Business Insider reported that in order to obtain herd immunity, between 40% and 70% of the population would need to be immune to coronavirus.
Only 5,139,920 people are infected in the whole United States, making up only 1.5% of the population. In order to gain anywhere close to audible immunity, at least 132,500,000 people must be immune to the virus, which means they must be exposed.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, the US government’s leading specialist in infectious diseases, has said that exposure rates come not only from infected and recovering people but also vaccinations, LA Times reported. believe.
The situation in prison is not the only indication that the herd’s immunity may not be achieved anytime soon, especially in the absence of vaccines.
A large Spanish study last month found that antibodies to the coronavirus disappeared after just a few weeks in some patients, Business Insider reported earlier. Research shows that only 5% of those tested across Spain maintained antibodies to the virus and that 4% of those who tested positive for coronavirus antibodies within the first test had no results. positive for antibodies one week later.