Welcome to our weekly analysis of campaign status 2020.
As Election Day turns to Election Week, a country worried about losing productivity, with Americans only interested in what cartographers like John King of CNN and Steve Kornacki of MSNBC have to say about cooperation. action of each new vote against the results of the race. And, a daring race to award the Arizona Prize to Joseph R. Biden Jr. Fox News’s campaign on election night, followed by The Associated Press, shocked Trump̵7;s campaign.
As of the end of Friday, Mr. Biden was in the striking distance of becoming the next president of the United States, backed by tight statewide victories in the Midwestern states won over President Trump. in 2016: Michigan and Wisconsin. Mr. Biden is leading in Pennsylvania, another state that has supported Mr Trump over the past cycle. The former vice president took a lead in Arizona in the west and Georgia in the south – giving Democrats hope for future victories in those states even though voting results are not good elsewhere.
That is a mixed result is not final, as some states may require recounting while others continue to count. Here are four takeaways from the results we know so far:
Despite some turmoil, the Democrats reaped some benefits
Democrats spent the night in panic, as it was clear that the surge in Republican voters had passed poll predictions and Mr. Trump had a longstanding coalition. By Thursday, as Mr. Biden got closer to 270 electoral votes, Democrat fears eased but did not disappear. The party lost in key congressional races, failed to topple some of the state’s legislatures, and continued to show weakness among voters in Florida, Texas and Iowa.
There is a small group in the political world that feels vindicated by the tough presidential race: Democrats who once worked for Hillary Clinton. The closeness of the Biden-Trump race suggests that the 2016 election results may be less about Clinton’s political weaknesses than Mr Trump’s political strengths.
In some states that Biden managed, like Wisconsin, his victory was only about 20,000 votes. Four years ago, Clinton lost the state about 22,000 people. A potential win with more than 300 electoral votes would sound like a boost for Mr. Biden, but it would also mask the fact that in some of the most important states, the race is still narrowly won.
Mr. Biden did not receive the broad nationwide profit margins many liberals had come to expect. Silver pads for some former Clintonworld members, as it has been said: The 2016 Democratic nominee may not go down in history like the political version of Bill Buckner, who blew the World Series for Red Sox in 1986 by placing a ball on the ground over his leg.
“His electoral power in 2016 has little to do with any of Hillary Clinton’s shortcomings as a candidate or her campaign but to Trump’s own appeal to a suite. large population, ”said Stuart Appelbaum, president of the Retail, Wholesale and Department Stores and a member of DNC’s executive committee, of Mr. Trump. “As Democrats, we need to understand that and deal with it more effectively in the future.”
Philippe Reines, Clinton’s former top adviser in both the Senate and the State Department, was even more blunt. “Hillary owes more than a few apologies for her campaign evaluation,” Reines said. Jennifer Palmieri, who served as the communications director for the 2016 Clinton campaign, says the current election brings a new perspective to the race four years ago.
“There are only so many things you can do to improve larger forces,” Ms. Palmieri said. “When I see young Latino and African-American men side with Trump in a way they didn’t in 2016, I’m not at fault with the Biden campaign’s African-American radio show. It’s a symptom of a bigger change going on. “
Trump’s futile personal feud
The tight map means Trump’s election campaign will be forced to consider realizing that if they had done any other little things, or if the candidate didn’t pursue futile battles with the enemy. politics (even out of bounds), this may have gone the other way.
Campaign officials and outside advisers admit that Republicans have been hurt in Arizona by Mr Trump’s years-long feud with Sen. John McCain, a beloved figure in his home state. a personal disdain continued even after his death in 2018. Fox News and the AP called Arizona to Mr. Biden on Tuesday night.
In Georgia, Mr. Biden took a close lead Friday thanks to votes from Clayton County, which was represented by former Rep. John Lewis, the civil rights icon who passed away in July. Mr. Trump has scolded Lewis for calling his presidency “illegal”, noting that he should spend more time fixing his “awful” and “criminal” area. Obviously, those words were not easily forgotten by the voters who lived there.
Some of his supporters have played the broader, “what if” game. “Where would Trump be if he never said what he said about Charlottesville, if he never said what he said about Khizr Khan, about Mika Brzezinski,” Ari Fleischer, former home press secretary White of President George W. Bush, said. In other words, where would he be if it weren’t for Donald Trump?